★ New here? Start simple

The Simple View

No spreadsheets, no jargon. Just our projection sat next to the market's line on a handful of NHL props, each in one plain sentence. Want all the numbers? Hit Pro up top for the full board.

The current slate

Loading the board…

See the full board & every prop →

What the words mean

The modelOur maths engine. It estimates how likely each player is to hit a stat line, from recent form, ice time and the matchup.

ProjectionOur model's estimate of the number a player actually finishes with. It is an estimate, not a claim that the bookmaker has it wrong.

Over / UnderA bet on a number. "Over 2.5 shots" wins on 3+; "Under 2.5" wins on 0, 1 or 2.

LineThe number the sportsbook has posted for that stat. Comparing it with our projection is the whole point of this page — we do not claim to beat the price.

For entertainment and information only. 21+. Please bet responsibly. Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — goalie save props are deliberately kept out of these picks because they hinge on unconfirmed starts. How the model works →